基于数据、算法和应用多层协同的大豆智慧育种研究进展与展望

    Research progress and prospect of soybean smart breeding based on multilayer collaboration of data, algorithms and applications

    • 摘要: 大豆Glycine max (L.) Merr.是兼具粮食、油料和饲用价值的战略作物,长期受单产提升缓慢与遗传基础狭窄制约。对中国而言,大豆对外依存度高、自给率偏低,扩种大豆和提升单产已成为保障粮食安全的重要任务,也对提升育种效率的技术提出迫切需求。近十年,大规模测序、高通量表型获取和人工智能算法快速发展,为育种方式转型提供了技术条件。当前限制大豆智慧育种的主要问题并非单项技术不足,而是数据、算法与应用之间尚未形成稳定衔接。数据能否被模型充分学习,预测结果能否转化为亲本选配、组合筛选和靶点设计等育种决策,田间验证产生的新数据能否规范回流并持续改进模型,直接影响智慧育种体系的运行成效。本文围绕数据层、算法层和应用层梳理大豆智慧育种研究进展,在此基础上分析数据向算法传递、算法向应用转化、应用向数据回流中的主要障碍,归纳数据、算法、应用、平台与治理5个方面的关键挑战,并讨论大豆迈向智能设计育种的实现条件。未来工作的重点在于补齐层间衔接断点,使预测、验证和数据回流进入常态化流程,并将评价标尺由模型预测精度转向实际实现的遗传增益。

       

      Abstract: Soybean Glycine max (L.) Merr. is a strategic crop with grain, oilseed, and feed value, yet its improvement has long been constrained by slow yield gains and a narrow genetic base. For China, the high dependence on soybean imports and the low self-sufficiency rate make expanding soybean cultivation and increasing yield per unit area becoming important tasks for ensuring food security, creating an urgent demand for technologies that can improve breeding efficiency. Over the past decade, rapid advances in large-scale sequencing, high-throughput phenotyping, and artificial intelligence algorithms have provided technical conditions for the transformation of breeding approaches. At present, the main constraint on soybean smart breeding is not the insufficiency of any single technology, but the lack of stable connections among data, algorithms, and applications. Whether data can be effectively learned by models, whether prediction results can be translated into breeding decisions such as parent selection, cross screening and target design, and whether new data generated from field validation can be standardizedly fed back, and used to continuously improve models directly affect the operational effectiveness of smart breeding systems. This review summarized research progress in soybean smart breeding from the perspectives of the data layer, algorithm layer, and application layer. It further analyzed the major barriers in data-to-algorithm transfer, algorithm-to-application translation, and application-to-data feedback, and identified key challenges in five aspects: Data, algorithms, applications, platforms and governance. Finally, it discussed the conditions required for soybean breeding to move toward intelligent design breeding. Future efforts should focus on bridging disconnections between layers, making prediction, validation, and data feedback into routine processes, and shifting evaluation criteria from model prediction accuracy to realized genetic gain.

       

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